Thursday, December 24, 2009

Is it time for Aldridge to pull a Channing Frye?

One of the biggest surprises in the league this year has been the emergence of Channing Frye as a 3-point assassin for the Phoenix Suns. In his first four seasons in the league, Frye made a grand total of 20 three point shots (in 70 attempts). This year he's already made 75 threes (in 167 attempts). That leads the league. And he's converting them at an astounding 45% rate.

When you look back, though, it's not too hard to see that Frye had potential as a long range shooter. While he didn't take many threes, he took a lot of long-range twos, just a step inside the line. And he converted those fairly well. If you can do that, it's not much of a stretch to take another step back.

And that brings me to LaMarcus Aldridge. Like Frye, Aldridge has a good looking perimeter shot. He routinely takes and hits shots from just a step within the 3-point line. And this season, Aldridge has converted four of his six 3-point attempts. That's obviously a very small sample size, but it gives me reason to think that Aldridge can make the same transition that Frye did.

And it makes a lot of sense for him to try. The long range two is the least efficient shot in the game of basketball. If you take a step back and shoot a three, you can be a more efficient scorer even if your shooting percentage declines. So why not give it try? If Aldridge can add a three point shot to his arsenal, he'd instantly become one of the best stretch fours in the game. It would open things up not only for him, but for the rest of the team.

If I were Nate McMillan (a phrase I repeat far too often), I would have Aldridge start practicing from 3-point range (if he doesn't already) and I would run at least one play a game to get Aldridge an open look from whichever spot beyond the arc he prefers. I don't think Aldridge should just start bombing away, but I'd encourage him to take one or two attempts a game, for now. If he converts them at a decent rate, I'd give him more. If not, the experiment can end.

But what do we have to lose? Without Fernandez and Outlaw, the Blazers are short on three point shooters. They could use another three point threat on the team. And, all things being equal, a big who can hit threes is more valuable than a guard who can do the same. It stretches the defense and opens up the floor. I think Aldridge has the tools to be that guy. So let's give him a shot.

On a related note, given that Anthony Tolliver is apparently a decent 3-point shooter himself, I'm intrigued by the idea of fielding a lineup that features Tolliver, Aldridge, and Webster in the front court and Roy and Bayless in the backcourt. Everyone in that lineup can hit a three, and if the bigs are forcing their defenders out onto the perimeter, Roy and Bayless should have an easy time driving to the hoop. But I think that's a conversation for a future post.

5 comments:

  1. Yes, yes, he should be taking 1-2 a game. But he should also be muscling up and taking it hard to the rack about 5 more times each game than he does right now.

    Love the fact that he has 3-point potential, but LA has a lot of room to grow all over the place. I'm still waiting for him to become a true pick and roll player, not just a pick and pop player.
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  2. trav is on the money.
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  3. I'm both happy and sad to see this post. Happy because this is something I've been pushing for since the beginning of the season:

    http://www.blazersedge.com/2009/11/3/1112957/we-can-use-aldridge-better

    and sad because my ideas are like sub-consciously absorbed by Bedgers and re-spit out in a different costume weeks later. I'm not complaining about the content, just the theme. You have new points in your opinion that I didn't originally have. My basic premise was that there wasn't enough room to operate in the paint so we needed to spread the floor a little more.

    Anyways, at least by having a respected and reputable poster (you) writing on this site and being linked, it will more likely be read by more important, decision making people.
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  4. Sonny,

    I promise I never saw your prior post. Otherwise I would have credited it. Having read it just now, though, I think you're spot on with your analysis.

    What triggered this particular post was watching Frye drill threes against us last week and then seeing Aldridge hit a number of difficult long-twos during the road trip.
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  5. Blazer Guy,

    I hope you didn't take my comment personally because I have a lot of respect for the insight, ideas and content that you provide for blazersedge.

    I think you and/or a couple other bedge regulars should be the next truehoop trailblazer blogger(s).

    Anyways, the blazers actually have ONE play that I've seen them run at the end of quarters to set Aldridge up for a corner 3. Roy has the ball up top as usual. Blake and Aldridge are on the low block. Usually, Blake sets a screen for Aldridge to free up Aldridge to go up top and set a screen for Roy. 99% of the time it's Blake set a screen for Aldridge to go pick and roll with Roy, but instead on this particular play, Blake sets screen for Aldridge, then Aldridge starts coming out as if he's going to play pick and roll with Roy, but then Aldridge will stop half way and drift out to the corner 3. Then Blake sets another screen on Aldridge's man to get Aldridge open for the corner 3. Roy passes out to the corner, and the guy guarding Blake is too stunned (and too short) to close out on Aldridge. Swish. Works pretty well in my opinion but I haven't seen that play run since like the mid-to-end-of-November.
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